Probability

Probability

Board: CBSE |Class:Class11

ComprehensivestudynotesforProbabilitybyAjayYadav(MathKingofKatargam).

KeyConceptsRandomExperiments

SamplespaceS=setofallpossibleoutcomes.EventE=subsetofS.P(E)=n(E)/n(S).0≤P(E)≤1.

TypesofEvents

Impossible:P(E)=0.Sure:P(E)=1.Complementary:P(notE)=1-P(E).Mutuallyexclusive:A∩B=φ.Exhaustive:A∪B=S.

AxiomaticApproach

P(S)=1.0≤P(E)≤1.IfAandBaremutuallyexclusive:P(A∪B)=P(A)+P(B).

AdditionTheorem

P(A∪B)=P(A)+P(B)-P(A∩B).Forthreeevents:P(A∪B∪C)=P(A)+P(B)+P(C)-P(A∩B)-P(B∩C)-P(C∩A)+P(A∩B∩C).

ConditionalProbability

P(A|B) = P(A∩B)/P(B), P(B)≠0. Multiplication theorem: P(A∩B) = P(A)P(B|A) = P(B)P(A|B).

Independent Events

A and B are independent if P(A∩B) = P(A)P(B). Also: P(A|B) = P(A) and P(B|A) = P(B).

Important Formulas

P(A)P(A) = n(A)/n(S)
ComplementP(A') = 1 - P(A)
AdditionP(A∪B) = P(A)+P(B)-P(A∩B)
ConditionalP(A|B)=P(A∩B)/P(B)
IndependentP(A∩B)=P(A)P(B)
SolvedExamples

Example1:Adieisrolled.FindP(evennumber).

Solution:E={2,4,6}.P(E)=3/6=1/2.

Example2:Twodicearerolled.FindP(sum=7).

Solution:Favorable:(1,6),(2,5),(3,4),(4,3),(5,2),(6,1)=6.Total=36.P=6/36=1/6.

Example3:Acardisdrawnfrom52cards.FindP(redorking).

Solution:P(red)=26/52,P(king)=4/52,P(redking)=2/52.P=26/52+4/52-2/52=28/52=7/13.

PracticeQuestions
  1. Acoinistossed3times.FindP(exactly2heads).
  2. Twodicearerolled.FindP(productis12).
  3. P(A)=0.4,P(B)=0.5,P(A∩B)=0.2.FindP(A|B) and P(A∪B).
  4. A bag has 4 red, 5 blue balls. Two balls drawn without replacement. Find P(both red).
  5. Events A and B are independent with P(A)=0.3, P(B)=0.4. Find P(A∪B).

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